Book of Halfy
Here is my prophecy.
The world is screwed.
That was simple. Now, I'll explain.
Modern society is built on continued expansion. Without expansion, there would be zero inflation, zero interest, and of course, zero growth. A stable society finds it's maximum level of expansion, and balances out at that point.
Modern society has an advantage over the expansion limitation. The use of fossil fuels has allowed society to over-use the planet. The use of petroleum based fertilizers, has allowed a significant increase in the amount of food that can be produced in a given area of farm land. Also, the fossil fuels supply transportation and electrical needs to the world.
The amount of oil and natural gas available for use is not unlimited, there is only a finite amount in the planet to use. This is where the "Peak Oil" theory comes along. Peak Oil states that the production of oil follows a bell curve. On the upside of the curve, the cheap and easy to access oil is taken and used. On the downside of the curve, the more difficult and more expensive to extract oil is accessed. The Peak Oil theory also states that the world is currently at the peak of this bell curve. It is possible to replace some of the energy use with coal, nuclear power, hydro-electric, solar, wind, and such forms of power. But, the other types of power will not be in place when they are needed.
Countries will cut back on their oil production, due to lack of ability to continue producing at the same levels. This causes the price of oil to climb. Only the countries that can afford the oil can have full access to it. Other countries would not have enough to go around. At first, this can be dealt with, as it's only a slight loss. As the world continues down the bell curve, the oil is becoming even less available. This means that food becomes more expensive. Over time, all but the cheapest food is too expensive for many people. Add in to this one good drought, and there will be mass starvation. Once the starvation begins, many countries will decide to go to war to get access to other countries resources.
But, this completely ignores how the American government, which is one set of religious extremists, is trying to control the oil supply. Then there is the other set of religious extremists, who happen to be in the countries where the majority of the oil is located. Nice standoff. War is the obvious result. But, this war is able to be kept in a localized area, on a world-wide basis.
Once these factors occur at the same time, World War III will begin. This war will continue for no more than a dozen years.
In the year 2010, 2011, or 2012, the Yellowstone volcano in Wyoming will erupt. This will cause massive devistation, which results in the enemies of USA to wage a more massive war. It puts out enough fine particulate into the air, that the planet is left in complete choking darkness for half of a week. People who go outside during the worst of it will die. Due to the particulate in the air, the world's agriculture will fail to produce anything significant for the next six months or more. This causes starvation world-wide. Military rule, and martial law will be enforced all around the world. You might want to stock up on a few extra cases of bean and rice when this time is drawing near. A few bullets to keep hungry neighbours might help, unless you pack enough food for them as well. A bit of stored water to cook the rice would be useful too, as the waters will initially be poisoned by the particulate. At this time, things look bad. It will get worse over the coming years.
When the world is about to destroy itself, a comet will fall. This will happen around late 2012 CE. The comet will enter on a west-bound trajectory, after having already gone around the sun. While going around the sun, the comet will break apart into smaller pieces. The smaller pieces will rain down across the planet. The largest portion will land in or near northern Europe.
Due to the astroid or volcanic activity, the upper mantle is significantly affected. For two years afterwards, the Earth's crust will shift. After the earthquakes, the North Pole will be located about ten degrees closer to Alaska or Russia. The new location of the poles allows the glaciers to melt on Greenland, and portions of Antarctica. This raises the ocean level by two metres, flooding the coastal areas of the world.
The least affected sections of the world are the south-eastern areas of Canada, the north-eastern agricultural areas of USA, and the agricultural areas, at higher elevations, of South America and Australia. All other areas receive weather changes, destruction, war, and/or riots.
After all of this, a new leader comes along. Everybody on his side of the war will love the new leader, as his rule will fix the immediate problems for a section of the world. He will be a military success for a couple years. When he begins to lose the war, he will send out nuclear missles. It will only be a limited amount.
Once this war has ended, the world population will be two and a half billion people. At this point, the survivors lick their wounds, and get on with life.
To summerize:
Overusing the world,
Peak oil,
World War III,
Volcano,
Comet,
Pole Shift,
Nuclear Weapons,
Stabalized planet.
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